· 2026-07-11

Pittsburgh Steelers could slide into a regression curve as Mike McCarthy steps in as head coach, veteran analyst Kevin Clark warned on Tuesday. The team sits 4th in the AFC with a 10-7 record and a one‑game winning streak, but Clark sees the momentum reversing.
Clark points to the abrupt shift in offensive philosophy that McCarthy brings from the Green Bay Packers. He argues the Steelers' run‑heavy scheme clashes with McCarthy’s preference for a balanced attack, leaving running back Najee Harris underutilized. "The play‑calling will feel foreign," Clark said, noting that early‑season games already show fewer rushing attempts.
Quarterback Kenny Pickett, who thrived on quick‑pass concepts, may struggle with longer dropbacks and more complex reads. Defensive end T.J. Watt, a sack machine, could see fewer blitz packages as McCarthy leans on zone coverage. Clark highlighted that the Steelers allowed 22 sacks last season, and a shift in protection schemes could inflate that number.
The Steelers entered the season 10‑7, climbing to fourth in the AFC, and rode a one‑game winning streak into the McCarthy era. Yet Clark notes the victory came against a struggling opponent, masking deeper issues. "A 10‑7 record looks solid, but the underlying metrics—third‑down conversion rate at 31%—suggest the team is barely scraping by," he explained.
The next test arrives on September 13, 2026, when Pittsburgh travels to face the Atlanta Falcons. Clark believes the Falcons will expose any growing pains, especially in the secondary where the Steelers have allowed a 250‑yard passing average per game. The outcome could set the tone for McCarthy’s tenure.
Clark admits there’s still room for adjustment. He cites veteran safety Minkah Fitzpatrick’s leadership as a possible catalyst for defensive cohesion. "If the locker room rallies around the new system early, the backward slide could be halted," he said. Still, the analyst warns fans to temper expectations until the first few games under McCarthy reveal a clear pattern.
Pittsburgh’s fan base, known for its loyalty, may grow restless if the team’s performance dips. Ticket sales have already dipped 5% since the coaching announcement, according to stadium reports. Clark predicts social media chatter will intensify, especially if the Steelers lose the Falcons matchup.
A regression could open doors for rivals like the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns, who sit just two games ahead in the division. The Steelers’ ability to stay competitive hinges on how quickly McCarthy adapts his playbook to Pittsburgh’s personnel strengths.
The coming weeks will reveal whether Kevin Clark’s warning proves prescient or if the Steelers can defy the odds and thrive under new leadership.